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The SIS and SIR stochastic epidemic models: A maximum entropy approach


Artalejo, Jesús R. and Lopez-Herrero, M. J. (2011) The SIS and SIR stochastic epidemic models: A maximum entropy approach. Theoretical population biology, 80 (4). pp. 256-264. ISSN 0040-5809

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We analyze the dynamics of infectious disease spread by formulating the maximum entropy (ME) solutions of the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) and the susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) stochastic models. Several scenarios providing helpful insight into the use of the ME formalism for epidemic modeling are identified. The ME results are illustrated with respect to several descriptors, including the number of recovered individuals and the time to extinction. An application to infectious data from outbreaks of extended spectrum beta lactamase (ESBL) in a hospital is also considered.

Item Type:Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:Death; Number; Distributions; Minimization
Subjects:Sciences > Mathematics > Functional analysis and Operator theory
ID Code:14914
Deposited On:20 Apr 2012 10:52
Last Modified:20 Apr 2012 10:52

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