Biblioteca de la Universidad Complutense de Madrid

The SIS and SIR stochastic epidemic models: A maximum entropy approach

Impacto

Artalejo, Jesús R. y Lopez-Herrero, M. J. (2011) The SIS and SIR stochastic epidemic models: A maximum entropy approach. Theoretical population biology, 80 (4). pp. 256-264. ISSN 0040-5809

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URL Oficial: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/00405809



Resumen

We analyze the dynamics of infectious disease spread by formulating the maximum entropy (ME) solutions of the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) and the susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) stochastic models. Several scenarios providing helpful insight into the use of the ME formalism for epidemic modeling are identified. The ME results are illustrated with respect to several descriptors, including the number of recovered individuals and the time to extinction. An application to infectious data from outbreaks of extended spectrum beta lactamase (ESBL) in a hospital is also considered.


Tipo de documento:Artículo
Palabras clave:Death; Number; Distributions; Minimization
Materias:Ciencias > Matemáticas > Análisis funcional y teoría de operadores
Código ID:14914
Depositado:20 Abr 2012 10:52
Última Modificación:20 Abr 2012 10:52

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