Publication: Cointegration, Error Correction Models and Forecasting: The U.K. Demand for Money
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1995-03
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Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales. Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico (ICAE)
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Abstract
We analyze the ability of recent methods proposed for the specification and estimation of relationships among nonstationary variables, to overcome the traditional instability of empirical money demand functions. We use a 1964-1982 sample for the UK which has been widely used in the literature. The forecasting ability of the resulting model is then compared with that of alternative, reduced form specifications.
Con objeto de resolver la tradicional inestabilidad mostrada por las funciones de demanda de dinero estimadas, en este artículo se analiza la capacidad de algunos métodos recientemente propuestos para la especificación y estimación de relaciones entre variables no estacionarias. Se utiliza una muestra de datos de la economía del Reino Unido, período 1964-1982, ampliamente utilizada en esta literatura.
Con objeto de resolver la tradicional inestabilidad mostrada por las funciones de demanda de dinero estimadas, en este artículo se analiza la capacidad de algunos métodos recientemente propuestos para la especificación y estimación de relaciones entre variables no estacionarias. Se utiliza una muestra de datos de la economía del Reino Unido, período 1964-1982, ampliamente utilizada en esta literatura.
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