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Multidecadal Variability of the Summer Length in Europe

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Peña Ortiz, C. and Barriopedro Cepero, David and García Herrera, Ricardo (2015) Multidecadal Variability of the Summer Length in Europe. Journal of climate, 28 (13). pp. 5375-5388. ISSN 0894-8755

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00429.1


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Abstract

This study analyzes the multidecadal variability of the European summer timing and length. The dates of the summer onset and end are computed through an objective algorithm based on locally defined temperature thresholds applied to the European daily high-resolution gridded dataset (E-OBS) during the period 1950-2012. The results reveal a European mean summer lengthening of 2.4 days decade^-1 for the period 1950-2012. However, this trend is confined to the post-1979 period, when lengthening rates range between 5 and 12 days decade^-1 over western Europe and the Mediterranean region. In contrast, a widespread summer shortening occurred for the 1950-78 period. The reported changes in the summer length are in agreement with temperature trends during June and September, which affect the summer onset and end dates. It is shown that the shortening and lengthening with a turning point around 1979 is a leading mode of the summer length multidecadal variability. The trends in the summer length can be explained by the superposition of an Atlantic multidecadal oscillation signal and a long-term trend toward more persistent summers in Europe associated with global warming.


Item Type:Article
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© 2015 American Meteorological Society. This work has been partly supported by the research project CGL2014-51721-REDT funded by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness and by Iberdrola Renovables under Contract 4502746576. We acknowledge the E-OBS dataset from the EU-FP6 project ENSEMBLES (http://ensembles-eu.metoffice.com), including the data providers in the ECA&D project (http://www.ecad.eu), the Met Office in collaboration with the National Climatic Data Center of NOAA, the Climatic Research Unit (University of East Anglia) in conjunction with the Hadley Centre, and the NCEP-NCAR reanalysis project at the Physical Sciences Division of NOAA/ESRL for providing the data. We also thank the editor and two anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments on this manuscript.

Uncontrolled Keywords:Climate-change; Growing-season; Heat waves; Atlantic; Temperature; Onset; Oscillation; Phenology; Future; Trends
Subjects:Sciences > Physics > Astrophysics
Sciences > Physics > Astronomy
ID Code:32851
Deposited On:24 Aug 2015 11:54
Last Modified:10 Dec 2018 15:05

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