Publication: A regional climate simulation over the Iberian Peninsula for the last millennium
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2011
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A high-resolution (30 km) regional paleoclimate simulation of the last millennium over the Iberian Peninsula (IP) is presented. The simulation was performed with a climate version of the mesoscale model MM5 driven by the global model ECHO-G. Both models were driven by the same reconstructions of several external forcing factors. The high spatial resolution of the regional model allows climatologists to realistically simulate many aspects of the climate in the IP, as compared to an observational data set in the reference period 1961-1990. Although the spatial-averaged values developed by the regional model are tightly driven by the boundary conditions, it is capable to develop a different realisation of the past climate at regional scales, especially in the high-frequency domain and for precipitation. This has to be considered when comparing the results of climate simulations versus proxy reconstructions. A preliminary comparison of the simulation results with reconstructions of temperature and precipitation over the IP shows good agreement in the warming trends in the last century of the simulation, although there are large disagreements in key periods such as the precipitation anomalies in the Maunder Minimum.
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© Author(s) 2011. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. This work was funded by the Spanish Ministry of the Environment (project SALVA-SINOVAS, Ref. 200800050083542) and the Spanish Ministry of Science and Technology (project SPECMORE-CGL2008-06558-C02-02/CLI). The authors also gratefully acknowledge the funding from the Euro-Mediterranean Institute of Water (IEA). We acknowledge the E-OBS data set from the EU-FP6 project ENSEMBLES (http://ensembles-eu.metoffice.com) and the data providers in the ECA&D project (http://eca.knmi.nl). J. J. Gómez Navarro thanks the Spanish Ministry of Education for his Doctoral scholarship (AP2006-04100). We also thank Jürg Luterbacher for the interesting insights about uncertainties in proxy reconstructions, which improved the final version of this paper.
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