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Sovereign-bank linkages: Quantifying directional intensity of risk transfers in EMU countries

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Singh, Manish K and Gómez-Puig, Marta and Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón (2016) Sovereign-bank linkages: Quantifying directional intensity of risk transfers in EMU countries. Journal of International Money and Finance, 63 . pp. 137-164. ISSN 0261-5606

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2016.01.003



Abstract

This study attempts to identify and trace inter-linkages between sovereign and banking risk for each main country in the euro area. To this end, we use an indicator of banking sector risk in each country based on the Contingent Claim Analysis literature, and 10-year government yield spreads over Germany as a measure of sovereign risk. We apply a dynamic approach to test for Granger causality between the two measures of risk in each country, allowing us to check for episodes of significant and abrupt increase in short-run causal linkages. The empirical results indicate that episodes of causality intensification vary considerably in both directions over time and across the different EMU countries. The directionality suggests the presence of causality intensification, mainly from banks to sovereigns in crisis periods.


Item Type:Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:Sovereign debt crisis; Banking crisis; Distance-to-default; Granger causality; Time-varying approach.
Subjects:Social sciences > Economics > Banks and credit unions
Social sciences > Economics > Depressions
Social sciences > Economics > Econometrics
Social sciences > Economics > Stock exchanges
JEL:C22, E44, G01, G13, G21
ID Code:55706
Deposited On:12 Jun 2019 10:31
Last Modified:01 Aug 2019 12:11

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