Universidad Complutense de Madrid
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Multifunctional natural forest silviculture economics revised: Challenges in meeting landowners’ and society’s wants: A review

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Solaun, Kepa and Cerdá Tena, Emilio (2017) Multifunctional natural forest silviculture economics revised: Challenges in meeting landowners’ and society’s wants: A review. Energies, 10 (1343). ISSN 1996-1073

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en10091343



Abstract

Climate change could pose a significant threat to the energy sector in various countries. The objective of this study is to analyze the long-term impact of changes in precipitation and water availability on hydroelectric production. To do so, the study focuses on three hydroelectric power plants in Southern Spain combining climatological, technical and economic data and projections. A physical model has been designed that reproduces the plants’ operations and incorporates various scenarios for the evolution of contributions to the basin. The results predict a 10 to 49% drop in production by the end of the century, depending on the plant and scenario. This decrease in production, in accordance with our economic and operational hypotheses, would significantly affect the operating margins of the facilities and, in certain scenarios, could reach an economically unsustainable level by the end of the century. An investment analysis has been carried out as well, showing that climate change may jeopardize future investments in similar facilities.


Item Type:Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:Climate change; Climate change adaptation; Hydropower generation; Water resources; Renewable energy.
Subjects:Sciences > Physics > Electricity
Sciences > Geology > Hidrology
Social sciences > Economics > Regional economics
ID Code:57263
Deposited On:08 Oct 2019 07:54
Last Modified:08 Oct 2019 09:00

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