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The short-run Phillips curve of the current spanish economy

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1987
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Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales. Decanato
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Some economists have advocated an expansionary demand policy to reduce unemployment in Spain. This means accepting a negatively sloped short-run Phillips curve that would allow the exploitation of the celebratred trade-off between inflation and unemployment. This paper gives a qualitative characterization of the Spanish short-run Phillips curve. We argue that this curve is currently vertical and the apparent trade-off shown by the data is misleading, as it is caused by an increase in the equilibrium rate of unemployment. Consequently, the effects of an expansionary demand policy would mainly go into prices and the reduction of unemployment would be small.
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DOLADO, J.J.; MALO, J.L. y ZABALZA, A. (1985): "Spanish Industrial Unemployment: Some Explanatory Factors" Banco de Servicio de Estudios, Documento de trabajo 8516. ESPASA, A. (1984): "The Estimation of Trends with Breaking Points in their Rate of Growth: The Case of the Spanish GDP". Banco de España, Servicio de Estudios. Documento de trabajo 8415. GORDON, R.J. (1982): "Why Stopping Inflation May be Costly: Evidence from Fourteen Historical Episodes", en Hall, R.E. editor: "Inflation, causes and effeets" University of Chicago Press. LAYARD, R.; BASEVI. G.; BLANCHARD, O.; BUITER. W. and DORNBUSH, R. (1984): "Europe: the case for unsustainable growth". Report of the CEPS Macroeconomic Policy Group, March 1984. SCHWARTZ. P. (1976): "El Producto Interior Bruto de España de 1940 a 1960". Banco de España, Servicios de Estudios. Documento EC/1976/17.