Publication: Análisis de extremos de temperatura y precipitación en la Península Ibérica en escenarios de cambio climático
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2016-02-17
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Universidad Complutense de Madrid
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Abstract
En este trabajo se analiza la habilidad de los nueve modelos regionales (RCM) usados en el proyecto europeo PRUDENCE para simular eventos extremos de temperatura y precipitación en un escenario de clima pasado reciente (1961-1990) y en dos escenarios futuros de emisiones (SRES-B2 y SRES-A2) para el último tercio de este siglo (2071-2100) en la Península Ibérica y Baleares. La evaluación de las simulaciones en 1961-1990 se ha realizado con las observaciones analizadas por el proyecto European Climate Assessment (ECA) del Instituto Meteorológico de Holanda (KNMI)
In this study it is analysed the ability of the nine Regional Climatic Models (RCMs) used in PRUDENCE European project to simulate extreme temperature and precipitation events in a recent past climate scenario (1961-1990) and in two future releases scenarios (SRES-B2 and SRES-A2) for the last third of this century (2071-2100) in the Iberian Peninsula and Balearic Islands. The evaluations of simulations for the period 1961-1990 has been performed with the observations analysed in the European Climate Assessment (ECA) project of the Meteorological Institute of the Netherlands (KNMI).
In this study it is analysed the ability of the nine Regional Climatic Models (RCMs) used in PRUDENCE European project to simulate extreme temperature and precipitation events in a recent past climate scenario (1961-1990) and in two future releases scenarios (SRES-B2 and SRES-A2) for the last third of this century (2071-2100) in the Iberian Peninsula and Balearic Islands. The evaluations of simulations for the period 1961-1990 has been performed with the observations analysed in the European Climate Assessment (ECA) project of the Meteorological Institute of the Netherlands (KNMI).
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Tesis inédita de la Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Físicas, Departamento de Física de la Tierra, Astronomía y Astrofísica I, leída el 11-12-2015