Publication: Estudios de macrodinámica aplicados a la economía española: productividad, inversión y distribución de la renta
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2018-01-30
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Universidad Complutense de Madrid
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Abstract
El objeto de la tesis es estudiar la economía española mediante el instrumental teórico de la macrodinámica kaleckiana, con tres objetivos principales: caracterizar su régimen de crecimiento; explicar cómo fueron compatibles un rápido crecimiento económico y la persistencia de importantes debilidades productivas; y aportar una mejor aproximación a los vínculos de la macrodinámica basada en la demanda y la distribución con las condiciones de la estructura productiva y con el marco socio-institucional de la economía. La primera parte, con dos capítulos, establece el marco de análisis de la Tesis. Por un lado, los fundamentos de la macrodinámica inspirada principalmente por los trabajos de Kalecki, desde los cuales se sintetiza el núcleo de proposiciones teóricas en el que se sustenta la investigación. Por otro lado, la descripción estructural de la economía española en sus diversas etapas desde el período del “desarrollismo franquista” hasta 2007, último año de una larga fase expansiva de la economía. A partir de esos fundamentos teóricos y teniendo en cuenta las sucesivas transformaciones del proceso económico y del marco institucional de la economía española, reveladas por el análisis estructural, se proponen cuatro preguntas centrales a investigar, la primera referida al período desarrollista y las otras tres al período 1982-2007. La segunda parte consta de cuatro estudios aplicados con los que responder a las preguntas de investigación. En el primer estudio, las pruebas empíricas confirman que el régimen de crecimiento del desarrollismo franquista fue del tipo wage-led. A pesar de las importantes singularidades que presentaba la economía española de aquel período, su régimen fue similar al de gran parte de las economías desarrolladas que la literatura ha estudiado para el período de la Edad de Oro...
The main aim of the Thesis is study the Spanish economy through theoretical tools of Kaleckian macrodynamics, with three main objectives: i) characterize its growth rate; ii) Explain how rapid economic growth and the persistence of significant productive weaknesses were compatible; and iii) provide a better approach to the bonds of macrodynamic based on demand and distribution with the conditions of the production structure and the socio-institutional framework of the economy. The first part of the thesis is composed of two chapters. This part establishes the thesis analysis framework. Chapter II contains the fundamentals of macrodynamic mainly inspired by the work of Kalecki, providing the core of theoretical propositions in which the research is based. Chapter III contains the structural description of the Spanish economy in its various stages from the period of "Francoist developmentalism" until 2007, turning point of the long expansionary phase. Based on these theoretical foundations, and taking into account the successive transformations of the economic process and the institutional framework of the Spanish economy (revealed by the structural analysis), four key research questions are proposed, the first question referred to the developmentalism period and the other three questions referred to the period from 1982 to 2007. The second part of the Thesis consists of four applied chapters, with which answer the research questions of this study. In the chapter IV, empirical evidence confirms that, along of Francoist developmentalism, the regime of growth was the type wage-led. Despite the important singularities that showed the Spanish economy of that period, his regime was similar to much of the developed economies, that literature has studied for the period of the Golden Age. Chapter V contains the analysis of the relationship between the (weak) growth of labor productivity and the notable rise of investment in 1982-2007. I provide empirical results to the thesis that the potential demand stimuli on the productivity was neutralized by the production structure. The resources of labor and capital are concentrated mainly in “job-creating sectors”, that showed slow and decelerating growth of labor efficiency. Consequently, that investment drove production almost exclusively through employment, generating a trade-off between employment and productivity...
The main aim of the Thesis is study the Spanish economy through theoretical tools of Kaleckian macrodynamics, with three main objectives: i) characterize its growth rate; ii) Explain how rapid economic growth and the persistence of significant productive weaknesses were compatible; and iii) provide a better approach to the bonds of macrodynamic based on demand and distribution with the conditions of the production structure and the socio-institutional framework of the economy. The first part of the thesis is composed of two chapters. This part establishes the thesis analysis framework. Chapter II contains the fundamentals of macrodynamic mainly inspired by the work of Kalecki, providing the core of theoretical propositions in which the research is based. Chapter III contains the structural description of the Spanish economy in its various stages from the period of "Francoist developmentalism" until 2007, turning point of the long expansionary phase. Based on these theoretical foundations, and taking into account the successive transformations of the economic process and the institutional framework of the Spanish economy (revealed by the structural analysis), four key research questions are proposed, the first question referred to the developmentalism period and the other three questions referred to the period from 1982 to 2007. The second part of the Thesis consists of four applied chapters, with which answer the research questions of this study. In the chapter IV, empirical evidence confirms that, along of Francoist developmentalism, the regime of growth was the type wage-led. Despite the important singularities that showed the Spanish economy of that period, his regime was similar to much of the developed economies, that literature has studied for the period of the Golden Age. Chapter V contains the analysis of the relationship between the (weak) growth of labor productivity and the notable rise of investment in 1982-2007. I provide empirical results to the thesis that the potential demand stimuli on the productivity was neutralized by the production structure. The resources of labor and capital are concentrated mainly in “job-creating sectors”, that showed slow and decelerating growth of labor efficiency. Consequently, that investment drove production almost exclusively through employment, generating a trade-off between employment and productivity...
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Tesis inédita de la Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, leída el 05-09-2017