Publication: Los efectos económicos de la COVID-19: ¿Qué supuso para nuestras cuentas la mayor emergencia sanitaria del siglo?
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2020-06-05
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Universidad Complutense de Madrid
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Abstract
Aún está por ver cuál será el impacto real del nuevo coronavirus SARS-Cov-2 en la economía a escala mundial. Esta es la primera crisis que ocurre al mismo tiempo en todo el mundo, lo que significa que la capacidad de que los países más ricos asistan a otros más pobres es bastante limitada. Todos los analistas los predican y la realidad les da la razón: los datos dibujan sobre el papel una situación con más sombras que luces.
Los efectos de la COVID-19 dependerán, en buen grado, del alcance que tenga esta crisis desde el punto de vista social y económico. Las medidas a corto plazo tomadas por los gobiernos parecen ser las más razonables para mantener la actividad económica de aquí a unos pocos meses.
El problema radica en un largo plazo donde no está tan claro que el consumo, el comercio exterior y el empleo vuelvan a situarse en los niveles previos a esta crisis enmarcados dentro del mayor ciclo alcista de la economía desde la crisis del 2008.
The real impact of the new SARS-Cov-2 coronavirus on the global economy remains to be. This is the first crisis that occurs at the same time in every country in the world, which means that the ability for richer countries to assist poorer countries is quite limited. All analysts preach them, and reality gives them the reason: the data draws on paper a situation with more shadows than lights. The effects of COVID-19 will depend, to a good extent, on the extent of this crisis from a social and economic point of view. The short-term measures taken by governments seem to be the most reasonable to maintain economic activity within a few month. The problem lies in a long term where it is not so clear that consumption, foreign trade,band employment will back at pre-crisis levels within the economy's biggest bullish cyclebsince the 2008 crisis.
The real impact of the new SARS-Cov-2 coronavirus on the global economy remains to be. This is the first crisis that occurs at the same time in every country in the world, which means that the ability for richer countries to assist poorer countries is quite limited. All analysts preach them, and reality gives them the reason: the data draws on paper a situation with more shadows than lights. The effects of COVID-19 will depend, to a good extent, on the extent of this crisis from a social and economic point of view. The short-term measures taken by governments seem to be the most reasonable to maintain economic activity within a few month. The problem lies in a long term where it is not so clear that consumption, foreign trade,band employment will back at pre-crisis levels within the economy's biggest bullish cyclebsince the 2008 crisis.