Publication: Modelos teóricos de crisis de tipo de cambio y su aplicación a las crisis de Asia Oriental
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1999
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Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales. Decanato
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En este trabajo se trata de determinar si los modelos teóricos sobre crisis cambiarias desarrollados hasta la actualidad son capaces de explicar las crisis financieras asiáticas que se originaron en Tailandia en julio de 1997. Para ello comenzamos describiendo los dos principales conjuntos de modelos teóricos: los denominados modelos de primera y segunda generación. A continuación vemos cuáles han sido las características económicas más relevantes en los años anteriores a la crisis en Tailandia, Malasia, Indonesia, Filipinas y Corea del Sur. Finalmente se analiza si lo descrito en el análisis empírico es compatible con lo explicado por los modelos teóricos.
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