Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate



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Robinson, Alexander James and Lehmann, Jascha and Barriopedro Cepero, David and Rahmstorf, Stefan and Coumou, Dim (2021) Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate. NPJ climate and atmospheric science, 4 (1). ISSN 2397-3722

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Over the last decade, the world warmed by 0.25 °C, in-line with the roughly linear trend since the 1970s. Here we present updated analyses showing that this seemingly small shift has led to the emergence of heat extremes that would be virtually impossible without anthropogenic global warming. Also, record rainfall extremes have continued to increase worldwide and, on average, 1 in 4 rainfall records in the last decade can be attributed to climate change. Tropical regions, comprised of vulnerable countries that typically contributed least to anthropogenic climate change, continue to see the strongest increase in extremes.

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© 2021 The Authors. A.R. is supported by the Ramón y Cajal Program of the Spanish Ministry for Science, Innovation, and Universities (grant no. RYC-2016-20587). D.C. is supported by the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO), grant 016.Vidi.171011. D.B. acknowledges support from the H2020 EU project CLINT (Grant Agreement No. 101003876).

Uncontrolled Keywords:Precipitation; Events
Subjects:Sciences > Physics > Atmospheric physics
ID Code:68676
Deposited On:11 Nov 2021 11:49
Last Modified:15 Nov 2021 11:49

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