Publication: Efectos rebosamiento del stock de capital entre las comunidades autónomas españolas
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2019-05-14
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Universidad Complutense de Madrid
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Abstract
En el campo de la Economía Regional, se conoce como “efecto rebosamiento” al efecto positivo que, sobre el crecimiento económico de un conjunto de regiones, puede provocar un shock, permanente y positivo, en el nivel del stock de capital de otra región ajena al conjunto.En España, la existencia de efectos rebosamiento del stock de capital ha sido sugerida por varios trabajos empíricos, si bien en esta Tesis se ha ampliado la perspectiva de estudio. Así, el efecto rebosamiento podría ser incluso más complejo que el descrito. Si se dieran las condiciones adecuadas, es posible que dicho shock pudiera desencadenar un efecto dinámico de retroalimentación entre el conjunto de regiones y la región que recibe directamente el shock, dando lugar a una especie de círculo virtuoso de crecimiento. Ahora bien, estos efectos dinámicos, que sin duda podrían contribuir a la convergencia entre regiones, solo pueden ocurrir si cada parte es capaz de “aprovechar” el crecimiento de la otra.La literatura económica ha analizado exhaustivamente el problema de la convergencia y las desigualdades interregionales entre las CCAA españolas, y, si bien ha constatado cierta convergencia con otras regiones europeas, no parece que las CCAA hayan convergido entre ellas. Excesiva lentitud en la convergencia o falta de la misma son dos hipótesis difíciles de distinguir desde un punto de vista econométrico, la cuestión es que, después de treinta años, las regiones más pobres siguen siendo las más pobres y las más ricas siguen siendo las más ricas. La pregunta relevante es: ¿Por qué?...
In the field of Regional Economics, it is known as a "spillover effect" the positive impact that, on the economic growth of a group of regions, can cause a permanent and positive shock at the level of capital stock from a foreign region.In Spain, the existence of spillover effects or positive externalities has been suggested by several empirical studies, although in this Thesis the study perspective has been extended. Thus, the spillover effect might be even more complex than the described. If the right conditions were met, it is possible that this shock could trigger a dynamic feedback effect between regions, giving rise to a virtuous circle of growth. However, these dynamic effects, which may undoubtedly contribute to the convergence between regions, can only occur if each part is able to take advantage of the growth of the other.The economic literature has analyzed exhaustively the problem of convergence and interregional inequalities among Spanish regions, and, although it has been some convergence with other European regions, the absence of real convergence between Spanish regions is a fact. Excessive slowness in the convergence process or lack of convergence are two hypotheses difficult to distinguish from an econometric perspective. The fact is that, after thirty years, the poorest regions are still the poorest and the richest continue being the richest. The relevant question is: why?...
In the field of Regional Economics, it is known as a "spillover effect" the positive impact that, on the economic growth of a group of regions, can cause a permanent and positive shock at the level of capital stock from a foreign region.In Spain, the existence of spillover effects or positive externalities has been suggested by several empirical studies, although in this Thesis the study perspective has been extended. Thus, the spillover effect might be even more complex than the described. If the right conditions were met, it is possible that this shock could trigger a dynamic feedback effect between regions, giving rise to a virtuous circle of growth. However, these dynamic effects, which may undoubtedly contribute to the convergence between regions, can only occur if each part is able to take advantage of the growth of the other.The economic literature has analyzed exhaustively the problem of convergence and interregional inequalities among Spanish regions, and, although it has been some convergence with other European regions, the absence of real convergence between Spanish regions is a fact. Excessive slowness in the convergence process or lack of convergence are two hypotheses difficult to distinguish from an econometric perspective. The fact is that, after thirty years, the poorest regions are still the poorest and the richest continue being the richest. The relevant question is: why?...
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Tesis de la Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, leída el 12-07-2018